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Selection: Saltelli:A [3 articles] 

Publications by author Saltelli:A.
 

What is science's crisis really about?

  
Futures, Vol. 91 (August 2017), pp. 5-11, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2017.05.010

Abstract

[Highlights] [::] Science’s crisis is real. A resolution is not in sight, but a Reformation is not impossible. [::] The mainstream interpretation of the root causes of the crisis (perverse incentive, too many papers) is insufficient. [::] The crisis is due to a transformed role: from emancipation and betterment of mankind to instrument of profit and growth [::] Scientists cannot resolve the problem alone and have high stakes in the preservation of the status quo. [::] Institutions are in denial pretending that current predicaments of science ...

 

Post-normal institutional identities: quality assurance, reflexivity and ethos of care

  

Abstract

[Highlights] [::] Given the current crises of legitimacy and quality in mainstream science, institutions that produce and govern science and those that provide scientific advice to policy need to change their modus operandis; we advocate for an ethos of care. [::] Post-normal science and other frameworks of scientific knowledge production may inspire trustfulness in institutions that provide scientific advice to policy. [::] In Europe, the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission has the necessary scaffolding to advise policy in view of public interest, ...

 

How to avoid a perfunctory sensitivity analysis

  
Environmental Modelling & Software, Vol. 25, No. 12. (15 December 2010), pp. 1508-1517, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2010.04.012

Abstract

Mathematical modelers from different disciplines and regulatory agencies worldwide agree on the importance of a careful sensitivity analysis (SA) of model-based inference. The most popular SA practice seen in the literature is that of ’one-factor-at-a-time’ (OAT). This consists of analyzing the effect of varying one model input factor at a time while keeping all other fixed. While the shortcomings of OAT are known from the statistical literature, its widespread use among modelers raises concern on the quality of the associated sensitivity ...

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