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Selection: Riccio:A [2 articles] 

Publications by author Riccio:A.

Seeking for the rational basis of the Median Model: the optimal combination of multi-model ensemble results

Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 7, No. 24. (11 December 2007), pp. 6085-6098,


In this paper we present an approach for the statistical analysis of multi-model ensemble results. The models considered here are operational long-range transport and dispersion models, also used for the real-time simulation of pollutant dispersion or the accidental release of radioactive nuclides. [\n] We first introduce the theoretical basis (with its roots sinking into the Bayes theorem) and then apply this approach to the analysis of model results obtained during the ETEX-1 exercise. We recover some interesting results, supporting the heuristic approach ...


On the systematic reduction of data complexity in multimodel atmospheric dispersion ensemble modeling

Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 117, No. D5. (16 March 2012), pp. n/a-n/a,


The aim of this work is to explore the effectiveness of theoretical information approaches for the reduction of data complexity in multimodel ensemble systems. We first exploit a weak form of independence, i.e. uncorrelation, as a mechanism for detecting linear relationships. Then, stronger and more general forms of independence measure, such as mutual information, are used to investigate dependence structures for model selection. A distance matrix, measuring the interdependence between data, is derived for the investigated measures, with the scope of ...

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