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Selection: Nicholls:RJ [2 articles] 

Publications by author Nicholls:RJ.
 

Sea-level rise scenarios and coastal risk management

  
Nature Climate Change, Vol. 5, No. 3. (1 March 2015), pp. 188-190, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2505

Abstract

The IPCC's global mean sea-level rise scenarios do not necessarily provide the right information for coastal decision-making and risk management. [\n] Global mean sea-level (GMSL) rise is a major concern for coastal managers and society at large. Since 1988, the IPCC has engaged in a strenuous effort to tackle this kind of challenge at the interface of science and practical decision-making. In this role, the IPCC has recently updated its scenarios of GMSL rise with the release of its Fifth Assessment Report ...

 

A global assessment of the effects of climate policy on the impacts of climate change

  
Nature Clim. Change, Vol. 3, No. 5. (13 May 2013), pp. 512-519, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1793

Abstract

This study presents the first global-scale multi-sectoral regional assessment of the magnitude and uncertainty in the impacts of climate change avoided by emissions policies. The analysis suggests that the most stringent emissions policy considered here—which gives a 50% chance of remaining below a 2 °C temperature rise target—reduces impacts by 20–65% by 2100 relative to a ‘business-as-usual’ pathway which reaches 4 °C, and can delay impacts by several decades. The effects of mitigation policies vary between sectors and regions, and only a few ...

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