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Selection: Kriegler:E [2 articles] 

Publications by author Kriegler:E.
 

Pathways limiting warming to 1.5°C: a tale of turning around in no time?

  
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 376, No. 2119. (02 April 2018), 20160457, https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0457

Abstract

We explore the feasibility of limiting global warming to 1.5°C without overshoot and without the deployment of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies. For this purpose, we perform a sensitivity analysis of four generic emissions reduction measures to identify a lower bound on future CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion and industrial processes. Final energy demand reductions and electrification of energy end uses as well as decarbonization of electricity and non-electric energy supply are all considered. We find the lower bound of ...

 

Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system

  
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 105, No. 6. (12 February 2008), pp. 1786-1793, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0705414105

Abstract

The term “tipping point” commonly refers to a critical threshold at which a tiny perturbation can qualitatively alter the state or development of a system. Here we introduce the term “tipping element” to describe large-scale components of the Earth system that may pass a tipping point. We critically evaluate potential policy-relevant tipping elements in the climate system under anthropogenic forcing, drawing on the pertinent literature and a recent international workshop to compile a short list, and we assess where their tipping ...

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