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Selection: Kossin:JP [2 articles] 

Publications by author Kossin:JP.

Anthropogenic forcings and associated changes in fire risk in Western North America and Australia during 2015-2016

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society In Explaining Extreme Events of 2016 from a Climate Perspective, Vol. 99, No. 1. (January 2018), pp. S60-S64,


Extreme vapor pressure deficits (VPD) have been associated with enhanced wildfire risk. Using one model, we found for 2015/16 that human influences quintupled the risk of extreme VPD for western North America and increased the risk for extratropical Australia. [Excerpt: Introduction] In 2016, about 3.6 million hectares of land burned in the United States and Canada (NIFC 2017; NFD 2017). In Canada, a wildfire southwest of Fort McMurray, Alberta, caused the largest wildfire evacuation in Alberta’s history and destroyed 2400 homes ...


The poleward migration of the location of tropical cyclone maximum intensity

Nature, Vol. 509, No. 7500. (14 May 2014), pp. 349-352,


Temporally inconsistent and potentially unreliable global historical data hinder the detection of trends in tropical cyclone activity1, 2, 3. This limits our confidence in evaluating proposed linkages between observed trends in tropical cyclones and in the environment4, 5. Here we mitigate this difficulty by focusing on a metric that is comparatively insensitive to past data uncertainty, and identify a pronounced poleward migration in the average latitude at which tropical cyclones have achieved their lifetime-maximum intensity over the past 30 years. The ...

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